U.S. Metro + CRE Forecast Model

A structural economic forecasting modeling platform for custom scenario analysis, including CRE variables.

The U.S. Metro + CRE Forecast Model platform provides a powerful and flexible tool for clients seeking to analyze and customize “what if” scenarios at the U.S. metro level. By leveraging Moody’s Analytics forecast model, users can explore the effects of shocks and changes in macroeconomic conditions on CRE space markets. This expanded model integrates CRE-specific space market and capital market variables—such as rents and vacancy rates—alongside broader macroeconomic indicators, offering a comprehensive view of market dynamics. The platform includes access to the underlying macroeconomic and CRE forecast databases for metro areas in Data Buffet.

  • Coverage: U.S metro areas aligned with OMB definitions

  • Property Types: Apartment, retail, office, industrial, and hotel

  • Periodicity: Mostly quarterly and some annual, depending on the series

  • Delivery: Monthly updates delivered via Scenario Studio and API or the Data Buffet interface for easy downloading, charting, and scheduling

Key Features

  • Customizable scenario creation: Using Scenario Studio, clients can design tailored scenarios for macroeconomic indicators and CRE space market variables—including rent, vacancy, inventory, etc.—by property type across all U.S. metro areas. For example, simulating the impact of an oil price hike on multifamily rents in Atlanta.

  • CRE-specific variables: The model includes critical CRE space market metrics such as rent trends and vacancy rates, allowing for focused analysis by property type—for example, multifamily, retail, industrial and office.

  • Integration of macro and CRE insights: Users can flow macroeconomic assumptions—such as inflation or economic shocks—into CRE variables at a granular metro level, enabling a dynamic understanding of interconnected market impacts.

  • Regulatory scenarios option: For clients operating under regulatory frameworks like CCAR, the platform offers pre-configured macroeconomic indicators and CRE space market variables by property type for U.S. metro areas, ensuring compliance and streamlined analysis.

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